Sunday, 20 October 2013

Hindu India : Future and Perceptions

With the outbreak of Muzaffarnagar riots and the recent disturbance in Bihar over communal issues, a wave arose among those whom I consider as educated goons that why not to go for a Hindu India, 100% Hindu people so that there should be no similar disturbance or pogroms and everybody will be in a 100% peace? Well I know, casting pearls in front of swines should not be anyone's priority. But still, let me try. Suppose India becomes 100% Hindu, and according to my Genius buddies, a dream Nation which anyone posses. Definitely after India becomes 100% Hindu, they (those who made this dream come true ) will go for few major reforms because everything in this country has been established to make Mahatma's dream come true : A person who was shot dead by a Hindu extremist, oopssss!! Sorry, a Hindu Hero, Nathuram Godsse .(Protagonist, O yeahhhh !!!!!)

Let us consider those reforms.

Reforms : 

Shutting down every mall which has western content, particularly the apparels, new dress codes for our derailed youths, particularly girls, rectified age limits for marriage, shutting down the co-ed institutions, even those which are research ones because they may interfere in their way, youths will be forced to join the new Gurukuls and abandon the old Schools, if not suddenly then gradually because gradual change is stable, a "banned" Discovery of India and "eulogised" Discovery of New India and so on.

I am pretty sure that this won't be enough to quench their Hindu thirst, a few sector may move to so called " Rajtantra" because things were so perfect those days. If the number favours one side, then definitely one can expect only one caste or creed, may be Dalit or may be the Upper ones. All sins will be rectified and doors for any outsider will be shut down because he/she may bring back the Old School. Since my knowledge regarding their sentiments is limited, I should not write further, only a thorough observation will work.

Conclusion

Its up to you !!!!!




Wednesday, 9 October 2013

Why Food Security is Justified !!

The day National Food Security Bill (NFSB) was passed, stocks crashed 600 points and it lead to a national agitation, with so many negative posts on Social media regarding the future of country. These comments were vague as per my view, because most of the posts failed to convey on what assumptions did they blame government over the NFSB. Many economists argued on the cost of implementing NFSB, many of them said that one needs not to implement it if we rectify our food storage problem which incurs a loss of 44000 crore rupees just because of lack of storage. May be they are true, but what do they failed to realise is the short term demands of the country and only took into account the longer one.

Calculating Food Security

One of the most magnified calculation is that of Surjit Bhalla which argues that the cost of implementing the Food Security will be somewhere near 3 lakh crore a year. Well it has been already challenged on the grounds of the "Leakage" assumption which it has put. And the leakage he has assumed is quite appreciable, it's 40%, and it's an accepted one, many schemes run at a leakage of more than 60%. But what he failed to realise is that, those schemes which run at a leakage of 40% or more or whatsoever, they don't take into account those leakage for their calculation. What he projected is 8.3 kg per person instead of 5 kg per person, I guess government policies don't run this way. People may get less than 5 kg but they are never going to get the desired target. Leakages are addressed by reforms not surplus calculations.

Similarly, many other calculation including that of CACP ( Commission for Agricultural Costs and Prices) assumes 75 mn tonnes of commodities while what is required is just 62 mn tonnes. CACP has projected a cost of 6.8 lakh crore for 3 years. Another vague assumption is the Production Enhancement cost which go up to by 25 mn tonnes which arrives in the wake of minimum 30% procurement which must be maintained. How could they take this into analysis when the procurement is already around 30 % ?

Another estimate comes from Ministry of Food, which projects the cost, at what I suppose a justified one, around 44,411 crore to 76486 crore. This has also been challenged by EPW author Dipa Sinha on the grounds that it takes into account the Centre-State conflicts and many other parameters.

Declining Leakages and Moving Agriculture

In recent years, there has been much changes after 2002-03 where the leakages has come down from 54 % in 2004-05 to 44% in 2007-08 and 35% in 2011-12 (as per National Sample Survey Office). What is matter of concern is that still we have 35% leakage, which needs to be tackled with major reforms, I guess here digitisation of PDS will work 100%, that's how states like Tamil Nadu, Madhya Pradesh (which has been acknowledged a lot for that), Andhra Pradesh, Chhatisgarh and others have worked. 

More than that, the quantity of damaged/non-issuable grain has come down from 1.35 lak tonnes in 2002-03 to just 1454 tonnes in 2012-13 as per Food Corporation of India (FCI). Likewise there has been many reforms at executive level despite we have a sharp decline at political level in governance. 

Moving Forward

Definitely, certain major level correction are required in the bill, such as identification of those who will be covered in the program, the commodities which NFSB will cover, the criteria for the historical setbacks which prevail even now, such as malnourished children, special attention for women and old etc. But, leaving criticism behind, one need to move forward and say a "go" for NFSB because in recent times we need it. We have still around 70% population for whom food is a lottery !!!